Nifty 50 Today: Range-Bound Moves Expected Amid Profit Booking and Global Cues



Nifty 50 likely to trade range-bound today after strong upside. Profit booking, weak US futures, PCR trends, and US CPI data in focus. Read full technical outlook.


Market Outlook: Nifty 50 May Remain Range-Bound Amid Mixed Signals

After a powerful rally in the previous session, the Nifty 50 is showing signs of consolidation. The index opened flat and is expected to remain range-bound throughout the day as traders engage in profit booking following the strong upside move yesterday.

Key Factors Driving Today’s Sentiment:

  1. Profit Booking After Rally:
    Wednesday’s robust gains have triggered some selling at higher levels. Investors are locking in profits ahead of key economic data releases, which could keep Nifty in check for now.

  2. Put-Call Ratio (PCR):
    The current PCR stands around 0.95, indicating a balanced positioning with a slightly bearish bias. A PCR below 1 generally reflects increasing hedges against downside risk, supporting the view of a capped upside.

  3. Technical Outlook:

    • Resistance: 22,500–22,550
    • Support: 22,250–22,150
      Indicators like RSI are approaching overbought levels, hinting at a possible pause or retracement before the next leg up. The 50-DMA continues to act as a strong support zone.
  4. Awaiting US CPI Data:
    Global investors are keenly awaiting the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, scheduled later today. A surprise in inflation figures could shift Fed rate expectations, directly influencing FII flows into Indian markets.

  5. Sluggish US Futures:
    Early indications from the US futures market show a sluggish tone, reflecting global caution ahead of CPI. This has led to a tepid start in Asian markets, including India.


Conclusion:
With a mix of domestic technical resistance and global caution, the Nifty is likely to stay in a consolidation phase today. Traders should keep an eye on the US inflation data and PCR trend for directional cues. Intraday moves may remain range-bound, with 22,150–22,500 acting as the broader band for the day.

Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. All stock market investments involve risk. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.



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