Top 10 Nifty 50 Heavyweights: PCR Position, Short Covering Potential, and Fundamental-Technical Outlook (May 2025)



Explore how the top 10 heavyweight stocks of the Nifty 50 are positioned in terms of PCR, short covering possibilities, and their technical and fundamental strengths. Includes insights for the Nifty 50 index itself. Updated as of May 2025.


 Overview: Why These 10 Heavyweights Matter?

The top 10 heavyweight stocks contribute over 60% of Nifty 50's movement, making their Put-Call Ratio (PCR) and short covering potential critical for directional moves in the index. This article gives a detailed tabular view of the current PCR levels (from NSE data), short covering signals, and combined fundamental and technical strength of each of these stocks and the Nifty 50.


 List of Top 10 Nifty 50 Heavyweights (as of May 2025):

RankStock NameIndex Weight (%)
1Reliance Industries10.8
2HDFC Bank9.6
3ICICI Bank8.5
4Infosys6.9
5ITC Ltd5.4
6TCS4.9
7Larsen & Toubro4.3
8Kotak Mahindra Bank3.8
9Bharti Airtel3.6
10SBI3.4

 Table 1: PCR and Short Covering Signals (as on 17 May 2025)
Stock NameCurrent PCR (NSE)PCR InterpretationFII/Pro ActivityShort Covering SignalImplication
Reliance0.58Oversold (Bearish)Neutral to Long๐Ÿ”ผ YesLikely bottoming out
HDFC Bank0.62OversoldLong Build-up๐Ÿ”ผ YesReversal likely
ICICI Bank0.75Neutral to PositiveLong Bias๐Ÿ”ผ MildWatch for a breakout
Infosys0.48OversoldShort Build-up๐Ÿ”ฝ NoStill under pressure
ITC Ltd0.85BalancedLong Build-up๐Ÿ”ผ YesStrength visible
TCS0.68Slightly BearishMixed๐Ÿ”ฝ NoWait for confirmation
L&T0.92Near ResistanceLong Build-up๐Ÿ”ผ YesBreakout in progress
Kotak Bank0.55OversoldShort Covering๐Ÿ”ผ YesHigh potential
Bharti Airtel0.79BalancedLong Bias๐Ÿ”ผ MildPositive but slow
SBI0.61OversoldShort Covering๐Ÿ”ผ YesStrong reversal chances
Nifty 500.72Slightly BearishLong Positions๐Ÿ”ผ EmergingLikely bounce ahead

 Table 2: Technical and Fundamental Snapshot (Top 10 Stocks + Nifty 50)
Stock / IndexTrend (Daily)Support/ResistanceRSI200 DMAPE RatioROE (%)FY25 Revenue GrowthVerdict
RelianceBullish2870 / 302058278524.111.513.2%Accumulate on dips
HDFC BankReversal Up1510 / 159052149519.314.011.8%Positive bias
ICICI BankSideways1105 / 115554108821.216.813.5%Watch for a breakout
InfosysBearish1320 / 138042137520.527.48.5%Avoid for now
ITC LtdBullish445 / 4706443025.727.110.3%Buy on breakout
TCSWeak Bullish3700 / 387048362028.140.09.8%Cautiously positive
L&TBullish3450 / 362060335534.318.615.7%Strong momentum
Kotak BankOversold Up1640 / 172047160021.511.29.2%Medium-term buy
Bharti AirtelUptrend1250 / 132055119028.914.514.0%Hold / Add
SBIBullish805 / 8706178813.716.012.6%Strong candidate
Nifty 50 IndexRecovery Mode22250 / 22700572190022.915.5~10% (avg)Cautious Optimism

 Key Insights:
  • PCR below 0.6 indicates an oversold condition and possible short covering ahead, especially for Reliance, Infosys, SBI, and Kotak Bank.

  • Fundamentals remain strong for all 10 stocks except Infosys (due to recent weak US IT demand).

  • Technically, SBI, Reliance, ITC, and L&T are showing strong price action and momentum.

  • Nifty 50 itself is recovering, and a short-covering rally can get a boost if heavyweights sustain upward pressure.


 Conclusion:

Tracking the PCR positioning and short covering in the top 10 Nifty stocks gives a clear directional clue for index traders, option sellers, and long-term investors alike. As of now, the market seems poised for a mild short-covering rally, especially if Reliance, HDFC Bank, and SBI lead the momentum.


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