Nifty 50 Outlook for June 27, 2025: Can the Bulls Sustain the Rally

Explore the trading outlook for Nifty 50 on June 27, 2025, based on heavyweight stocks FII and DII flows, GIFT, Nifty US and Asian markets, gold, crude, and USD INR. Is the rally here to stay

Yesterday’s Recap – June 26 Market Close

Indian equities were in full celebration mode on Thursday. The Nifty 50 closed at 25549, gaining 304 points or 1.21 percent, while the Sensex surged 1003 points to end at 83755. This marked the third consecutive positive session and the highest closing since last year’s peak.

What made this rally special was its broad-based participation. Sectors across the board ended in green

Banking and financials led the charge
Metals, PSUs, and auto stocks also posted strong gains

Among the Nifty heavyweights

Reliance Industries jumped on retail expansion updates
HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank gained on expectations of strong credit growth
TCS and Infosys saw traction amid rupee tailwinds and strong US tech cues
Bharti Airtel and ITC added defensive support to the index

Top gainers on June 26 included Shriram Finance up over 4 percent, Jio Financial up over 3 percent, Tata Steel and Hindalco up over 2.5 percent, and Bajaj Finserv also gaining strongly. This movement was not just a relief rally but was backed by volume momentum and participation across sectors—key indicators of sustainability.

Technical Check – Charts Say Bulls Still Have Room

Nifty 50 is now well above its 9-day and 20-day exponential moving averages and has broken out of its earlier resistance zone at 25300. The next resistance lies at 25750 to 25800, followed by the psychological mark of 26000.

Key indicators

RSI is at 67, approaching overbought, but not in dangerous territory
MACD is in a bullish crossover, supporting momentum
Bollinger Bands indicate that Nifty is hugging the upper band, signaling strong upward pressure

Support zones to keep in mind

25350 to 25400 for intraday correction
25200 as the next major swing support

Unless Nifty slips below 25300 with strong volume, the near-term bias remains bullish with potential for new highs.

FII and DII Activity – Domestic Hands Holding Steady

Institutional flows remained somewhat mixed but positive in tone.

As of June 26

Foreign Institutional Investors or FIIs recorded net inflows of over 12500 crore
Domestic Institutional Investors or DIIs had a mild net outflow of around 200 crore

This follows a day earlier when DIIs were buyers and FIIs sold nearly 2400 crore. However, June month-to-date figures are encouraging, with DIIs consistently supporting the market and FIIs turning into mild buyers again.

This flow dynamic shows that Indian money is showing faith in the market’s fundamentals, and foreign investors are slowly returning, especially in banking and IT stocks.

Global Cues – What’s Driving the Rally

US Market Wrap – June 26

The US market had a strong session

S and P 500 gained 0.80 percent
Nasdaq climbed 0.97 percent
Dow Jones rose by 0.94 percent

Investor optimism was fueled by softening inflation and hopes of a US Federal Reserve rate cut in the coming quarter. Mega-cap tech stocks like Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, and Meta touched fresh all-time highs, sending positive signals to global investors.

Asian Market Opening – June 27

Nikkei opened stronger, up nearly 1.65 percent
Hang Seng and Shanghai traded marginally lower

While the trend is mixed, there is no negative trigger as such, and the Japanese market’s strength is offering some global support.

GIFT Nifty Indicates Bullish Opening

GIFT Nifty is trading around 25719, indicating a likely gap-up opening in Indian markets today. This is nearly 170 points above Nifty’s previous close and aligns with overnight global positivity.

Commodities and Currency Watch

Asset	Current Level	Comment
Gold	3345 dollars per ounce	Rising slightly due to a weaker US Dollar
Crude Oil WTI	Around 65.40 dollars	Stable with slight upward bias
USD Index	97.3	Three-year low supports global equity buying
USD INR	86.45	Stable range may attract continued FII inflows

The weakening dollar is providing fuel to emerging market rallies, including India. Stability in oil and currency is another encouraging factor for Indian traders and investors.

What to Expect Today – June 27 Playbook

Given Thursday’s breakout and Friday morning’s global support, we can expect another strong session. However, traders should remain vigilant for potential volatility at higher levels.

Opening Bias

Expect a gap-up opening near 25700 to 25750
Resistance is likely near 25800 to 25900

Upside Targets

If Nifty sustains above 25800, it can head toward 26000

Support Levels

25550 to 25500 for minor corrections
Stronger support rests at 25400 to 25250

Intraday Strategy

Consider buying on dips, especially if the index cools down toward 25550
Use trailing stop losses once the Nifty crosses 25780 to manage risk

What to Watch

First half FII flow data
Midcap and financial sector performance
Global cues, especially US Futures and oil prices, during Indian trading hours

Sectoral Focus

Banks and financials are the clear leaders—expect continued interest, especially in large private sector names
IT remains stable due to a weak rupee and strong performance from global tech
Metal stocks may witness consolidation after a big move
FMCG and auto could pick up in the second half, driven by monsoon data and rural demand trends

Bottom Line – Bullish but with Room for Profit Booking

Friday’s session on June 27 is expected to be bullish with a gap-up and continuation from Thursday’s rally. However, after three consecutive positive sessions, the market may experience mild profit booking in certain overbought areas.

Unless global markets surprise or oil surges unexpectedly, Nifty is well-positioned to test 25850 to 26000 in the near term. Short-term traders must remain agile and not get carried away at higher levels.

Author’s Note

Markets reflect confidence but also demand caution. With Nifty climbing to new highs and global cues supporting a further uptrend, this is a time for tactical optimism. Stay aligned with the trend but protect profits. Always use stop losses and follow the flow of global and domestic news.

Trade safely with a disciplined approach.

The Financial And Tech Literacy