Nifty 50 Outlook – June 12, 2025: Pre-Data Pause & Strong Technical Setup

Get a complete Nifty 50 analysis for June 12, 2025—opening bias, updated GIFT Nifty, US futures, and accurate breakout technicals in the top 10 stocks.



 1. Global Market Summary

  • Wall Street Update (June 11):
    The Dow Jones closed slightly higher, led by financial and industrial names, while the Nasdaq stayed flat ahead of key inflation data and tech earnings.

  • Asian Markets:
    Japan’s Nikkei and Korea’s KOSPI moved up modestly this morning. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng remained weak due to concerns over Chinese regulatory pressure.

This global setup suggests a cautiously optimistic mood for Indian markets.

🇮🇳 2. GIFT Nifty: Tepid Pre-Market Mood

Early morning, GIFT Nifty futures hovered around 25,170–25,200, showing a marginal dip of 30 points. This slightly weak start hints at investor caution ahead of domestic macroeconomic data.

 3. Macro Watchlist: Inflation & Global Policy Cues

  • India CPI (June 13): Expected to remain under the RBI’s comfort zone. A softer reading may encourage bullish sentiment.

  • US PPI & Fed Stance: Global cues depend heavily on inflation data and Fed commentary.

  • US–China Trade: Positive trade talk progress helps maintain market calm globally.

 4. Nifty 50 Technical Outlook

  • Previous Close (June 11): 25,141.4 — up ~37 points (+0.15%).

  • Support Levels: 25,000 and 24,850.

  • Resistance Levels: 25,300–25,350.

Indicators:

  • Price stays above the 20-, 50-, and 200-day EMAs.

  • RSI at ~67, signaling healthy bullishness.

  • MACD remains on a positive track.

Trend remains up, but investors should be watchful around CPI release.

 5. Top 10 Nifty Stocks – Accurate Technical Setup

1. Reliance Industries

  • Closing Price (June 11): ₹1,448.9

  • Setup: Broke triangle pattern. Next resistance: ₹1,620; Target: ₹1,680.

  • RSI: ~65 – healthy momentum.

2. HDFC Bank

  • Price: ₹1,950

  • Technical View: Strong above 50-DMA. Resistance near ₹1,990.

  • RSI: 60 — still offers upward room.

3. ICICI Bank

  • Price: ₹1,431

  • Pattern: Ascending triangle breakout soon. Resistance at ₹1,485.

  • Volumes: Increasing on green candles.

4. Infosys

  • Support: ₹1,595

  • Resistance: ₹1,645

  • Momentum: MACD bullish; breakout possible above ₹1,650.

5. TCS

  • Pattern: Cup and handle

  • Resistance: ₹3,950

  • Support: ₹3,860

  • Volumes: Rising on up days – a bullish sign.

6. Axis Bank

  • Price: ₹1,231

  • Setup: Forming a strong base near ₹1,220. Resistance at ₹1,275.

  • Outlook: Uptrend continuation possible.

7. Bharti Airtel

  • Resistance: ₹1,320

  • Support: ₹1,270

  • Technical View: Near breakout on wedge pattern.

8. Larsen & Toubro (L&T)

  • Price Range: ₹3,940–₹4,050

  • Chart: Flag breakout possible; watch for ₹4,100.

  • Outlook: Strong support base formed.

9. ITC Ltd

  • Support: ₹455

  • Resistance: ₹470

  • Trend: Positive on rising RSI and MACD crossover.

10. Kotak Mahindra Bank

  • Support: ₹2,160

  • Resistance: ₹2,240

  • Chart: Double bottom in formation – bullish potential above ₹2,240.

 6. Sector Overview & Market Flow

  • Banks: Most strength lies here – HDFC, Axis, and ICICI remain in rally zone.

  • IT Stocks: TCS and Infosys are well-placed technically.

  • FMCG & Infra: ITC and L&T in steady zones, offering low-risk setups.

FIIs showed mild selling on Wednesday, while DIIs continued accumulating blue-chip names.

 7. Trading Strategy for June 12

ScenarioStrategy
Break above 25,350  Long Nifty Futures, Buy Reliance, HDFC Bank, and Infosys
Hold 25,000–25,300  Buy on dips, especially in Banking and Tech
Fall below 24,850   Hedge with index puts or switch to cash
CPI Volatility  Avoid leverage, use low-risk options

8. Intraday Timing Map

  • 9:15–10:00 AM: Monitor opening bias in the top 5 Nifty stocks.

  • 10:30–12:00 PM: Assess volumes and sector leaders.

  • 2:00–3:30 PM: US futures influence, volatility spikes expected.

 9. Conclusion

For June 12, 2025, Nifty 50 is poised for a muted start but continues in a bullish channel. A decisive breakout above 25,350 could open the door to 25,500 or higher. On the flip side, 25,000 remains a strong near-term floor.

Top technical performers — Reliance (₹1,448), HDFC Bank (₹1,950), TCS (₹3,910), and Infosys — provide solid setups for positional trades.

This is a day for tactical, risk-balanced decisions with an eye on Friday’s inflation numbers.

Location: Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
Welcome to The Financial and Tech Literacy! I’m Awdhesh Kumar, a finance and tech enthusiast with 20+ years of experience in accounts, taxation, and the stock market. This blog simplifies finance and digital topics for all—students, professionals, retirees, and new investors. Learn about stock market strategies, personal finance, mutual funds, tech tools, digital banking, and government schemes. All content is original, practical, and based on real experience—no paid promotions or clickbait. We refer to trusted sources like SEBI, RBI, NSE, and Economic Times. Stay updated, make informed decisions, and grow financially with us. For contact: awdheshdube65@gmail.com.

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