Nifty 50 Expiry Day Analysis: Range-Bound or Breakout? Key Stocks, Global Cues, and Trump Tariff Angle
Get detailed expiry analysis for Nifty 50, with live levels, top stock setups, PCR insights, and the effect of Trump’s tariffs on India. Includes technical charts and closing data from global markets.
Nifty 50 Market Summary
Index: Nifty 50
Current Level: 25,476.10
Change: ▼46.40 points | -0.18%
Today marks the weekly expiry for Nifty 50, and the index has opened with a mild downside bias despite a strong overnight close in US equities. After opening slightly in the red, the market is showing signs of consolidation amid mixed global cues.
Let’s decode what lies ahead for the day, based on:
Current technical levels and expected range
Top-weighted stocks’ performance
Option chain and PCR data
Global cues, including Trump’s tariff policy
Broader sentiment across Asian and US markets
Indin Market Closing– July 9, 2025
| Index | Level | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 25,476.10 | ▼46.40 | -0.18% |
| Sensex | 83,536.08 | ▼176.43 | -0.21% |
| Nifty Bank | 57,213.55 | ▼42.75 | -0.07% |
| Nifty Midcap 50 | 16,753.15 | ▼22.95 | -0.14% |
| Nifty Smallcap 100 | 19,007.40 | ▲112.20 | +0.59% |
| Nifty IT | 38,680.85 | ▲302.45 | +0.78% |
IT and small caps are leading, hinting at selective risk-taking in broader markets despite flat indices.
US Market Closing – July 9, 2025
Dow Jones: 44,458.30 ▲ 217.54 pts (0.49%)
NASDAQ: 20,611.34 ▲ 192.88 pts (0.94%)
S&P 500: 6,263.26 ▲ 37.74 pts (0.61%)
All three major US indices ended higher, led by tech optimism and continued investor confidence in AI and semiconductor sectors.
Asian Market Opening – July 10, 2025
Nikkei: ▼203.90 (0.51%)
Hang Seng: Flat
KOSPI: ▲0.74%
Taiwan Index: ▲0.03%
Straits Times: ▲0.28%
Shanghai: ▼0.06%
Asia started on a mixed note, reacting cautiously to the momentum in U.S. equities. There’s little follow-through buying seen, and Japan’s correction weighed on sentiment.
Gift Nifty Today's Opening Cues
Gift Nifty: 25,571.00 ▲12.20 points (0.05%)
A flattish start suggests the market may be range-bound unless strong institutional flows or sector-specific triggers emerge.
Nifty 50 Expiry Range and Strategy
🔸 Technical Range for Today:
Resistance Zone: 25,520 – 25,620
Support Zone: 25,400 – 25,300
Expected Range: 25,350–25,600
Bias: Consolidation with mild downside risk
🔸 PCR (Put-Call Ratio):
At 0.85, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish setup.
No aggressive short buildup; long unwinding and sectoral pressure are dragging the index.
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